Reform UK is now just six points behind Labour in a shocking new poll, revealing which areas Nigel Farage’s party would make gains if an election was held today.
Reform UK is making gains on both the Tories and Labour in the polls (Image: Getty)
Populist party Reform UK cut Labour’s lead by six per cent in an opinion poll, just as Labour marks its first 100 days in power.
The More in Common survey, which tracks party approval ratings, revealed that Labour’s rating was at 27%, the same as the Conservative party.
The ratings have seen a big change since the elections on July 4, as Labour’s rates have gone down by seven per cent, and the Conservative’s has increased by three per cent.
Reform UK managed to benefit the most from Labour’s misery as their ratings increased by a significant seven per cent from the initial 14% score.
The number of MPs for Nigel Farage‘s party would be likely to increase from five to 26 with most of the gains coming at the expense of Labour, if a General Election was held right now.
The shocking poll results reveal a significant change since July 4 (Image: Getty)
The constituencies that would most likely be picked up by Reform are: Amber Valley, Barnsley South, Bradford South, Burnley, Cannock Chase, Dudley, Folkestone & Hythe, Great Grimsby & Cleethorpes, Heywood & Middleton North, Llanelli, Makerfield, Montgomeryshire & Glyndwr, Norfolk South West, Oldham East & Saddleworth, Oldham West, Chadderton & Royton, Rotherham, Sittingbourne & Sheppey, Spen Valley, Stoke-on-Trent Central, and Tipton & Wednesbury.
All of those are currently represented by Labour MPs in the House of Commons.
Reform UK’s Llanelli candidate, Gareth Beer, provided insight into why the populist party is gaining support in South West Wales.
He said: “Reform Llanelli has been building for the last four years, gradually building momentum since the last Senedd Election. Labour and the Tories at a national level continually shoot themselves in the foot.
“At a local level, I have been involved in local issues, including the Stradey Park hotel debacle … Labour were nowhere to be seen, many locals viewed that as a betrayal by their elected representatives.”
He added that the Labour’s decision to downgrade Llanelli’s Minor Injury Unit highlights the party’s failure to sort out the NHS crisis.
The poll shows that Reform UK could potentially cause a problem for Labour as Sir Keir Starmer gained power with little support from several key seats and with his rates falling it will only provide Reform UK with the opportunity to earn more votes in next year’s local elections.
Essex, Lincolnshire, Nottinghamshire, and parts of East Anglia are already strong Reform areas, but Derbyshire, Lancashire, Kent and Staffordshire are amongst those that could follow in 2025.
The party would still need a further four per cent to reach over more than 100 seats in Parliament; however, in Hornchurch & Upminster, Basildon & Billericay, Chatham & Aylesford, Hull East, Walsall & Bloxwich, Durham North, Halifax, Dover & Deal and Stoke-on-Trent North, Reform are polling less than one per cent behind the winning party.
arage’s party would make gains if an election was held today.
