Labour may be tanking in the polls, but Reform UK remains a major threat to the Conservatives, as they continue to close the gap.
The Reform UK conference kicks off in Birmingham this Friday, and Nigel Farage will be riding high as polls suggest his party is now up to a whopping 18 percent in the polls.
While Labour tanks down to 29% in the latest polls – down six points since the general election – the Tories are now being squeezed on all sides.
Reform UK has just seven points to make up before they overtake Rishi Sunak’s party, and this year’s Tory Conference could prove make-or-break for the historic political force.
Members will gather in Birmingham later this month, where they will hear pitches from the four remaining leadership candidates Robert Jenrick, Kemi Badenoch, Tom Tugendhat and James Cleverly.
Some Tories may have been concerned that Nigel Farage may repeat his cheeky behaviour last year, when he turned up to the Conservatives’ Manchester conference in his role as a GB News presenter.
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The visit sparked mass membership and media attention, stealing the limelight from Rishi Sunak and leading to claims Mr Farage could take over the Tory Party as leader after the election.
In news that will relieve Conservatives, therefore, The Express can reveal that Mr Farage will not be attending their conference this month, having not applied for a media pass despite his ongoing GB News presenting role.
The decision by Mr Farage may shock some, however, given the potential political benefits of repeating his spotlight-grabbing antics of 2023.
Instead Mr Farage will focus on shoring up Reform UK, and proving it is not a one-election wonder as UKIP was in 2015.
Set to meet at the Birmingham NEC this weekend, Reform UK has billed their conference as an enormous party, celebrating their shock breakthrough at the election.
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The main day, Friday, will also be an opportunity for members to meet Mr Farage’s new MPs for the first time.
All five will speak, concluding with Nigel Farage at 4pm.
As well as the parliamentary forces, Ann Widdecombe, party chairman Zia Yusuf and celebrity adventurer Ant Middleton will also address the plenary.
Reform also promises that Friday evening will be filled with “music, dancing and drinks”.
Day two will begin the pledged rollout of more formal party structures, seen to have been an impediment to Reform at the election when the Tories, Labour and LibDems had local associations able to campaign.
The Saturday will see a speed-dating for local members, meeting and discussing interest in becoming candidates or association members in the new branch structure.
The party declares: “This is your chance to be a vital part of the Reform movement and help shape the future of British politics.”
According to recent analysis by Britain Elects, while 2% of the Labour 2024 vote has switched back to the Tories, Reform UK has gained another 10% of the Tories’ 2024 vote share.